FanDuel, Week 10: Will Herbert or Tagovailoa provide best value?
Building a winning DFS lineup is not just about picking the players who score the most, but those that provide the best value. Value is dete...
Building a winning DFS lineup is not just about picking the players who score the most, but those that provide the best value. Value is determined by dividing the players' fantasy score by their price.
For example, this week Herbert is priced at $8,000, if he were to score 24 points then Herbert would return a 3X value. Tagovailoa is priced at $6,800 and would need to only score 19.4 points to reach 3x value.
Between Herbert and Tafovailo, who do you think will return the greatest value?
Justin Herbert (LAC, $8,000) may not be winning football games, but he has been fantastic at putting cash in the pockets of DFS players. Allen has averaged 306.57 passing yards a game, scored 19 total TDs with two being his fewest, and 25.1 fantasy points a game. Herbert faces the same Miami defense that Murray torched for 37.92 points. Herbert hasn't been nearly as productive on the ground as Murray, but he has flashed that element of the game. Over the past three games, Herbert has 111 rushing yards with one TD. The over-under for this game does provide a little concern at 48, with Miami favored by 2.5. This gives the Chargers an implied total of 23, which is on the low end for a QB that has now reached $8,000.
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA, $6,800) provides the opposing QB to Herbert and is $1,200 cheaper, with Dolphins expected to score 26 points. Last week was Tagovailoa's second game as a starter, and the reigns were certainly loosened for him. Tagoviloa completed 20 of 28 passes for 248 yards and two TDs. He also added 35 yards on the ground to score a respectable 21.42 fantasy points. The Chargers have allowed a fourth-most fantasy points average to QBs at 21.51 points. The Bolts have also allowed three rushing TDs to QBs. Despite the relatively low over-under, this game could surprise and turn into a close high scoring affair. If that were to occur, Tagovailoa might provide the best return to value on the slate. read less